Grassroots Network of the Republican Party of Virginia

The New Polls

In case you missed it.........

Potential GOP V. Dem Races

Bob McDonnell: 45%
Creigh Deeds: 30%
Other: 5%
Not Sure: 20%

Bob McDonnell: 44%
Brian Moran: 34%
Other: 3%
Not Sure: 19%

Bob McDonnell: 45%
Terry McAuliffe: 33%
Other: 3%
Not Sure: 19%

Favorable V. Unfavorable:

Bob McDonnell:

Favorable: 58%
Unfavorable: 16%
Not Sure: 26%

Terry McAuliffe:

Favorable: 35%
Unfavorable: 43%
Not Sure: 23%

Brian Moran:

Favorable: 34%
Unfavorable: 38%
Not Sure: 28%

Creigh Deeds:

Favorable: 33%
Unfavorable: 35%
Not Sure: 32%

So with that, Bob is the only candidate out of the four that is viewed favorably and in any race against the potential Democrat candidates, Bob comes out on top.

Source: (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20...)

Now If you are following the Democrat Primary Races,

Dem Nominee For Governor:

Brian Moran: 24%
Terry McAuliffe: 19%
Creigh Deeds: 16%

Source: (http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/4/8/VA/283/)

Dem Nominee For Lieutenant Governor:

Jody Wagner: 21%
Pat Edmonson: 4%
Michael Singer: 4%
Jon Bowerbank: 4%
Not Sure: 67%

Source: (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_331.pdf)

I think it is safe to say that the Democrat Nomination for Governor will be a tight race between Moran and McAuliffe, with Deeds coming in last.

I also think it is safe to say that the Democrat nominee for Lt. Governor will be Jody Wagner.

I can say with utmost certainty that Steve Shannon will be the Democratic Nominee for Attorney General.

Now the question is, where are the polls for our AG race?

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Replies to This Discussion

Permalink Reply by Brad Smith on April 27, 2009 at 2:41pm

I'd like to join the hallelujah chorus, but I just don't think these numbers mean very much at this point. If you look at the full Rasmussen results, you'll see that Obama and Kaine are running roughly 45% disapproval in VA (the same 45% who are definitely voting McDonnell), which means that McDonnell has 100% of the base on board but independants haven't broken one way or the other yet (no big surprise there). I also think the high unfavorables on the Dem side are mostly due to the nasty primary fight that's underway, and around mid-June you'll see their nominee with roughly 50% favorable.

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Permalink Reply by Travis Strickland on April 28, 2009 at 3:49pm

Well,
I just now managed to find some AG race polls. But, they're probably inaccurate (in some way) due to the date on them.

TAKEN ON DECEMBER 7, 2008. HOT SPRINGS, VA. STRAW POLL OUT OF 320 VOTES

Ken Cuccinelli: 47.9% (153 Votes)
John Brownlee: 38.47% (123 Votes)
Dave Foster: 13.7% (44 Votes)

Source: (http://www.rpv.org/news_media/detail/attorney-general-straw-poll-re...)

So, take it for what you will. The poll is dated, and only sampled 320 voters.

Hopefully the RPV will conduct another poll. (Hint, Hint)

And, If anything Brad, we should be celebrating that McDonnell has 100% of the base. That doesn't happen often.

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Permalink Reply by Brad Smith on April 28, 2009 at 5:05pm

Travis Strickland said:

And, If anything Brad, we should be celebrating that McDonnell has 100% of the base. That doesn't happen often.

Agree. I'm "cautiously optimistic," but not jubulient yet.

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Permalink Reply by Travis Strickland on April 28, 2009 at 7:18pm

Oh absolutely. Cautiously optimistic is the way to be.

Brad Smith said:

Travis Strickland said:
And, If anything Brad, we should be celebrating that McDonnell has 100% of the base. That doesn't happen often.

Agree. I'm "cautiously optimistic," but not jubulient yet.